SGCBL Playoff Odds
Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.

Tolkien Baseball Playoff Odds

Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Minas Tirith
MT
 27 37 88 108 70.0 92.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 9.3% 0.505 0.508
Mirkwood
MIR
 40 24 115 83 96.2 65.8 5.6% 20.1% 99.7% 0.0% 0.489 0.478
Old Forest
OF
 29 35 97 99 78.7 83.3 0.0% 0.1% 22.4% 0.1% 0.504 0.514
Rivendell
RIV
 45 19 121 80 102.4 59.6 34.8% 79.9% 100.0% 0.0% 0.494 0.479
Bywater
BYW
 32 31 102 95 84.2 77.8 0.1% 84.4% 86.3% 0.0% 0.495 0.490
Lake Town
LT
 23 41 85 115 66.7 95.3 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 24.9% 0.499 0.499
Minas Ithil
MI
 28 36 91 103 75.7 86.3 0.0% 11.1% 15.8% 0.8% 0.495 0.491
Erebor
ERE
 27 37 91 107 72.7 89.3 0.0% 4.0% 5.8% 3.4% 0.501 0.500
Bree
BRE
 33 31 103 95 82.4 79.6 0.0% 27.3% 53.8% 0.0% 0.498 0.499
Bucklebury
BUC
 36 28 103 92 85.7 76.3 0.0% 58.6% 77.8% 0.0% 0.498 0.493
Carrock
CAR
 29 34 97 105 77.0 85.0 0.0% 5.7% 14.6% 0.5% 0.499 0.499
Moria
MRA
 30 34 95 101 78.5 83.5 0.0% 8.5% 22.3% 0.2% 0.497 0.497
Dead Marshes
DM
 37 27 108 90 89.7 72.3 0.4% 78.7% 91.6% 0.0% 0.503 0.512
Dunharrow
DUN
 32 32 103 98 82.0 80.0 0.0% 13.2% 39.3% 0.0% 0.507 0.524
Grey Havens
GH
 33 31 100 98 80.8 81.2 0.0% 7.8% 29.4% 0.0% 0.503 0.512
Misty Mountain
MM
 28 36 90 106 72.0 90.0 0.0% 0.3% 1.4% 4.5% 0.509 0.523
Lothlorien
LOT
 34 30 102 93 85.0 77.0 0.0% 52.4% 67.5% 0.0% 0.491 0.481
Numenor
NUM
 25 39 87 109 70.1 91.9 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 8.9% 0.498 0.497
Ravenhill
RAV
 31 32 98 98 81.0 81.0 0.0% 18.9% 33.7% 0.0% 0.499 0.496
Weathertop
WT
 33 31 101 105 82.4 79.6 0.0% 28.4% 45.9% 0.0% 0.499 0.493
Dagorlad
DAG
 26 38 91 110 71.3 90.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 5.9% 0.503 0.512
Dol Guldur
DG
 22 42 82 116 64.8 97.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41.4% 0.505 0.517
Isengard
ISE
 39 25 108 89 89.8 72.2 0.3% 2.0% 89.6% 0.0% 0.501 0.505
Minas Morgul
MIN
 47 16 122 75 104.7 57.3 58.8% 98.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.494 0.489

SciFi and Fantasy League Playoff Odds

Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Chiba City
CC
 24 28 74 80 59.4 66.6 0.0% 4.1% 4.1% 0.8% 0.501 0.505
Babylon Five
B5
 22 30 73 86 56.0 70.0 0.0% 0.8% 0.8% 3.8% 0.505 0.511
Serenity Valley
SV
 29 23 83 73 67.4 58.6 0.5% 54.6% 54.6% 0.0% 0.500 0.499
Gallifrey
GAL
 26 26 78 79 62.6 63.4 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 0.1% 0.504 0.507
Dyson
DYS
 27 25 79 76 65.0 61.0 0.1% 27.9% 27.9% 0.0% 0.500 0.504
New New York
NNY
 35 17 91 67 76.0 50.0 22.5% 48.7% 48.7% 0.0% 0.492 0.477
Star Fleet Academy
SFA
 24 28 75 84 59.6 66.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.500 0.497
Intergalactic
INT
 20 32 69 88 52.4 73.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 17.0% 0.505 0.509
Tatooine
TAT
 32 20 92 64 76.1 49.9 22.5% 51.2% 51.2% 0.0% 0.489 0.483
WeMadeIt
WMI
 21 31 70 87 55.5 70.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 0.499 0.507
Karak Kadrin
KK
 36 16 95 64 78.0 48.0 40.2% 82.7% 82.7% 0.0% 0.491 0.474
Andelain
AND
 15 37 63 96 47.9 78.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 63.4% 0.507 0.531
Diagon Alley
DA
 31 21 88 68 72.0 54.0 5.0% 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.492 0.482
Earthsea
EAR
 26 26 76 81 61.2 64.8 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.501 0.495
Forgotten Realms
FR
 32 20 88 70 73.2 52.8 9.2% 98.1% 98.1% 0.0% 0.494 0.484
Land of Oz
OZ
 22 30 69 86 56.3 69.7 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 4.1% 0.507 0.519
Narnia
NAR
 23 29 72 86 57.1 68.9 0.0% 0.6% 0.6% 2.9% 0.503 0.501
Xanth
XAN
 23 29 73 83 58.3 67.7 0.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 0.505 0.515