Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.
Tolkien Baseball Playoff Odds
Team |
W |
L |
MaxW |
MaxL |
AvgW |
AvgL |
1st % |
Div % |
PO % |
Last % |
rxSoS |
rSoS |
|
50 |
42 |
101 |
91 |
86.5 |
75.5 |
2.9% |
11.8%
| 60.1% |
0.0% |
0.508 |
0.507 |
|
48 |
44 |
96 |
93 |
83.3 |
78.7 |
0.4% |
3.0%
| 30.1% |
0.0% |
0.505 |
0.500 |
|
54 |
38 |
108 |
82 |
93.9 |
68.1 |
41.2% |
85.2%
| 97.5% |
0.0% |
0.503 |
0.496 |
|
41 |
51 |
90 |
103 |
74.1 |
87.9 |
0.0% |
0.1%
| 0.6% |
0.5% |
0.514 |
0.520 |
|
51 |
41 |
105 |
91 |
87.7 |
74.3 |
4.0% |
43.0%
| 71.8% |
0.0% |
0.499 |
0.503 |
|
44 |
46 |
94 |
97 |
80.8 |
81.2 |
0.0% |
4.7%
| 14.0% |
0.0% |
0.505 |
0.522 |
|
47 |
45 |
94 |
98 |
80.1 |
81.9 |
0.0% |
3.5%
| 11.3% |
0.0% |
0.502 |
0.507 |
|
53 |
39 |
102 |
91 |
88.1 |
73.9 |
4.6% |
48.9%
| 75.0% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.496 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
96 |
80.1 |
81.9 |
0.0% |
4.0%
| 11.0% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.511 |
|
49 |
42 |
102 |
93 |
84.1 |
77.9 |
0.6% |
17.0%
| 38.7% |
0.0% |
0.506 |
0.512 |
|
52 |
37 |
104 |
90 |
89.9 |
72.1 |
11.1% |
78.0%
| 87.3% |
0.0% |
0.500 |
0.498 |
|
44 |
48 |
93 |
99 |
76.6 |
85.4 |
0.0% |
1.1%
| 2.7% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.513 |
|
40 |
52 |
91 |
101 |
75.5 |
86.5 |
0.0% |
12.1%
| 14.4% |
0.3% |
0.488 |
0.484 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
97 |
79.3 |
82.7 |
0.0% |
39.9%
| 43.5% |
0.0% |
0.488 |
0.489 |
|
33 |
59 |
77 |
114 |
62.4 |
99.6 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
50.7% |
0.500 |
0.499 |
|
47 |
45 |
96 |
98 |
80.0 |
82.0 |
0.0% |
48.0%
| 51.3% |
0.0% |
0.492 |
0.472 |
|
51 |
41 |
104 |
89 |
89.0 |
73.0 |
6.6% |
80.7%
| 94.9% |
0.0% |
0.490 |
0.485 |
|
34 |
58 |
82 |
113 |
63.4 |
98.6 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
38.9% |
0.505 |
0.515 |
|
47 |
45 |
99 |
94 |
83.2 |
78.8 |
0.4% |
17.1%
| 62.7% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.482 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
100 |
78.0 |
84.0 |
0.0% |
2.2%
| 14.9% |
0.1% |
0.493 |
0.491 |
|
35 |
56 |
83 |
109 |
67.8 |
94.2 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.1% |
9.5% |
0.503 |
0.515 |
|
53 |
38 |
107 |
86 |
91.5 |
70.5 |
19.7% |
64.2%
| 98.4% |
0.0% |
0.492 |
0.493 |
|
45 |
47 |
93 |
98 |
79.7 |
82.3 |
0.0% |
1.0%
| 24.9% |
0.0% |
0.502 |
0.500 |
|
53 |
39 |
105 |
88 |
89.1 |
72.9 |
8.2% |
34.8%
| 94.9% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.493 |
SciFi and Fantasy League Playoff Odds
Team |
W |
L |
MaxW |
MaxL |
AvgW |
AvgL |
1st % |
Div % |
PO % |
Last % |
rxSoS |
rSoS |
|
51 |
31 |
87 |
64 |
75.1 |
50.9 |
52.5% |
85.8%
| 85.8% |
0.0% |
0.497 |
0.486 |
|
30 |
52 |
61 |
90 |
48.0 |
78.0 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
59.8% |
0.510 |
0.516 |
|
45 |
37 |
82 |
70 |
68.4 |
57.6 |
1.9% |
6.7%
| 6.7% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.483 |
|
31 |
51 |
63 |
91 |
50.1 |
75.9 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
28.4% |
0.506 |
0.514 |
|
45 |
37 |
79 |
70 |
68.3 |
57.7 |
2.0% |
7.5%
| 7.5% |
0.0% |
0.490 |
0.475 |
|
46 |
36 |
83 |
67 |
70.5 |
55.5 |
7.7% |
44.9%
| 44.9% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.496 |
|
41 |
41 |
74 |
75 |
63.3 |
62.7 |
0.0% |
2.0%
| 2.0% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.507 |
|
36 |
46 |
68 |
81 |
56.7 |
69.3 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
1.1% |
0.507 |
0.518 |
|
48 |
34 |
84 |
66 |
71.1 |
54.9 |
11.1% |
53.0%
| 53.0% |
0.0% |
0.496 |
0.491 |
|
37 |
45 |
71 |
78 |
58.4 |
67.6 |
0.0% |
0.1%
| 0.1% |
0.2% |
0.504 |
0.515 |
|
40 |
42 |
73 |
77 |
61.9 |
64.1 |
0.0% |
5.7%
| 5.7% |
0.1% |
0.501 |
0.502 |
|
44 |
38 |
83 |
70 |
68.4 |
57.6 |
2.1% |
68.0%
| 68.0% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.494 |
|
41 |
40 |
76 |
74 |
64.6 |
61.4 |
0.1% |
18.5%
| 18.5% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.510 |
|
41 |
41 |
77 |
76 |
62.7 |
63.3 |
0.0% |
7.8%
| 7.8% |
0.0% |
0.498 |
0.492 |
|
34 |
48 |
65 |
83 |
53.5 |
72.5 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
5.7% |
0.508 |
0.509 |
|
36 |
46 |
71 |
81 |
57.2 |
68.8 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
0.4% |
0.503 |
0.512 |
|
43 |
38 |
79 |
71 |
66.4 |
59.6 |
0.5% |
7.3%
| 7.3% |
0.0% |
0.503 |
0.504 |
|
47 |
35 |
81 |
72 |
68.7 |
57.3 |
2.1% |
18.1%
| 18.1% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.491 |
|
49 |
33 |
84 |
65 |
72.7 |
53.3 |
19.8% |
74.6%
| 74.6% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.479 |
|
34 |
48 |
68 |
83 |
53.9 |
72.1 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
4.4% |
0.502 |
0.508 |
Tolkien Baseball Playoff Odds
Team |
W |
L |
MaxW |
MaxL |
AvgW |
AvgL |
1st % |
Div % |
PO % |
Last % |
rxSoS |
rSoS |
|
50 |
42 |
101 |
91 |
86.5 |
75.5 |
2.9% |
11.8%
| 60.1% |
0.0% |
0.508 |
0.507 |
|
48 |
44 |
96 |
93 |
83.3 |
78.7 |
0.4% |
3.0%
| 30.1% |
0.0% |
0.505 |
0.500 |
|
54 |
38 |
108 |
82 |
93.9 |
68.1 |
41.2% |
85.2%
| 97.5% |
0.0% |
0.503 |
0.496 |
|
41 |
51 |
90 |
103 |
74.1 |
87.9 |
0.0% |
0.1%
| 0.6% |
0.5% |
0.514 |
0.520 |
|
51 |
41 |
105 |
91 |
87.7 |
74.3 |
4.0% |
43.0%
| 71.8% |
0.0% |
0.499 |
0.503 |
|
44 |
46 |
94 |
97 |
80.8 |
81.2 |
0.0% |
4.7%
| 14.0% |
0.0% |
0.505 |
0.522 |
|
47 |
45 |
94 |
98 |
80.1 |
81.9 |
0.0% |
3.5%
| 11.3% |
0.0% |
0.502 |
0.507 |
|
53 |
39 |
102 |
91 |
88.1 |
73.9 |
4.6% |
48.9%
| 75.0% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.496 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
96 |
80.1 |
81.9 |
0.0% |
4.0%
| 11.0% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.511 |
|
49 |
42 |
102 |
93 |
84.1 |
77.9 |
0.6% |
17.0%
| 38.7% |
0.0% |
0.506 |
0.512 |
|
52 |
37 |
104 |
90 |
89.9 |
72.1 |
11.1% |
78.0%
| 87.3% |
0.0% |
0.500 |
0.498 |
|
44 |
48 |
93 |
99 |
76.6 |
85.4 |
0.0% |
1.1%
| 2.7% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.513 |
|
40 |
52 |
91 |
101 |
75.5 |
86.5 |
0.0% |
12.1%
| 14.4% |
0.3% |
0.488 |
0.484 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
97 |
79.3 |
82.7 |
0.0% |
39.9%
| 43.5% |
0.0% |
0.488 |
0.489 |
|
33 |
59 |
77 |
114 |
62.4 |
99.6 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
50.7% |
0.500 |
0.499 |
|
47 |
45 |
96 |
98 |
80.0 |
82.0 |
0.0% |
48.0%
| 51.3% |
0.0% |
0.492 |
0.472 |
|
51 |
41 |
104 |
89 |
89.0 |
73.0 |
6.6% |
80.7%
| 94.9% |
0.0% |
0.490 |
0.485 |
|
34 |
58 |
82 |
113 |
63.4 |
98.6 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
38.9% |
0.505 |
0.515 |
|
47 |
45 |
99 |
94 |
83.2 |
78.8 |
0.4% |
17.1%
| 62.7% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.482 |
|
43 |
49 |
94 |
100 |
78.0 |
84.0 |
0.0% |
2.2%
| 14.9% |
0.1% |
0.493 |
0.491 |
|
35 |
56 |
83 |
109 |
67.8 |
94.2 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.1% |
9.5% |
0.503 |
0.515 |
|
53 |
38 |
107 |
86 |
91.5 |
70.5 |
19.7% |
64.2%
| 98.4% |
0.0% |
0.492 |
0.493 |
|
45 |
47 |
93 |
98 |
79.7 |
82.3 |
0.0% |
1.0%
| 24.9% |
0.0% |
0.502 |
0.500 |
|
53 |
39 |
105 |
88 |
89.1 |
72.9 |
8.2% |
34.8%
| 94.9% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.493 |
SciFi and Fantasy League Playoff Odds
Team |
W |
L |
MaxW |
MaxL |
AvgW |
AvgL |
1st % |
Div % |
PO % |
Last % |
rxSoS |
rSoS |
|
51 |
31 |
87 |
64 |
75.1 |
50.9 |
52.5% |
85.8%
| 85.8% |
0.0% |
0.497 |
0.486 |
|
30 |
52 |
61 |
90 |
48.0 |
78.0 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
59.8% |
0.510 |
0.516 |
|
45 |
37 |
82 |
70 |
68.4 |
57.6 |
1.9% |
6.7%
| 6.7% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.483 |
|
31 |
51 |
63 |
91 |
50.1 |
75.9 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
28.4% |
0.506 |
0.514 |
|
45 |
37 |
79 |
70 |
68.3 |
57.7 |
2.0% |
7.5%
| 7.5% |
0.0% |
0.490 |
0.475 |
|
46 |
36 |
83 |
67 |
70.5 |
55.5 |
7.7% |
44.9%
| 44.9% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.496 |
|
41 |
41 |
74 |
75 |
63.3 |
62.7 |
0.0% |
2.0%
| 2.0% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.507 |
|
36 |
46 |
68 |
81 |
56.7 |
69.3 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
1.1% |
0.507 |
0.518 |
|
48 |
34 |
84 |
66 |
71.1 |
54.9 |
11.1% |
53.0%
| 53.0% |
0.0% |
0.496 |
0.491 |
|
37 |
45 |
71 |
78 |
58.4 |
67.6 |
0.0% |
0.1%
| 0.1% |
0.2% |
0.504 |
0.515 |
|
40 |
42 |
73 |
77 |
61.9 |
64.1 |
0.0% |
5.7%
| 5.7% |
0.1% |
0.501 |
0.502 |
|
44 |
38 |
83 |
70 |
68.4 |
57.6 |
2.1% |
68.0%
| 68.0% |
0.0% |
0.495 |
0.494 |
|
41 |
40 |
76 |
74 |
64.6 |
61.4 |
0.1% |
18.5%
| 18.5% |
0.0% |
0.501 |
0.510 |
|
41 |
41 |
77 |
76 |
62.7 |
63.3 |
0.0% |
7.8%
| 7.8% |
0.0% |
0.498 |
0.492 |
|
34 |
48 |
65 |
83 |
53.5 |
72.5 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
5.7% |
0.508 |
0.509 |
|
36 |
46 |
71 |
81 |
57.2 |
68.8 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
0.4% |
0.503 |
0.512 |
|
43 |
38 |
79 |
71 |
66.4 |
59.6 |
0.5% |
7.3%
| 7.3% |
0.0% |
0.503 |
0.504 |
|
47 |
35 |
81 |
72 |
68.7 |
57.3 |
2.1% |
18.1%
| 18.1% |
0.0% |
0.504 |
0.491 |
|
49 |
33 |
84 |
65 |
72.7 |
53.3 |
19.8% |
74.6%
| 74.6% |
0.0% |
0.493 |
0.479 |
|
34 |
48 |
68 |
83 |
53.9 |
72.1 |
0.0% |
0.0%
| 0.0% |
4.4% |
0.502 |
0.508 |