SGCBL Playoff Odds
Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.

Tolkien Baseball Playoff Odds

Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Minas Tirith
MT
 30 34 92 104 74.2 87.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.519 0.546
Mirkwood
MIR
 34 29 102 94 85.3 76.7 0.3% 5.3% 31.9% 0.0% 0.507 0.530
Old Forest
OF
 42 23 110 85 94.0 68.0 8.2% 53.5% 89.8% 0.0% 0.507 0.518
Rivendell
RIV
 38 24 109 86 92.8 69.2 5.9% 41.2% 86.4% 0.0% 0.504 0.522
Bywater
BYW
 35 29 104 92 86.8 75.2 0.6% 90.6% 90.8% 0.0% 0.490 0.476
Lake Town
LT
 28 35 93 109 74.2 87.8 0.0% 4.3% 4.4% 0.0% 0.500 0.498
Minas Ithil
MI
 27 37 92 104 74.8 87.2 0.0% 4.9% 5.1% 0.0% 0.500 0.505
Erebor
ERE
 23 40 85 113 66.3 95.7 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.502 0.502
Bree
BRE
 36 27 107 91 87.8 74.2 0.5% 20.2% 53.1% 0.0% 0.510 0.528
Bucklebury
BUC
 38 25 108 88 92.5 69.5 4.4% 61.6% 84.7% 0.0% 0.507 0.527
Carrock
CAR
 33 29 97 96 80.3 81.7 0.0% 1.8% 8.2% 0.0% 0.519 0.547
Moria
MRA
 37 26 106 93 87.0 75.0 0.4% 16.4% 44.7% 0.0% 0.513 0.537
Dead Marshes
DM
 20 44 79 120 63.7 98.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 0.493 0.484
Dunharrow
DUN
 32 33 101 96 83.9 78.1 0.1% 44.4% 65.3% 0.0% 0.479 0.451
Grey Havens
GH
 31 34 97 101 79.0 83.0 0.0% 13.9% 27.4% 0.0% 0.491 0.477
Misty Mountain
MM
 33 28 104 96 83.5 78.5 0.1% 41.7% 62.1% 0.0% 0.490 0.466
Lothlorien
LOT
 39 24 111 88 93.6 68.4 7.5% 91.0% 98.3% 0.0% 0.489 0.474
Numenor
NUM
 27 36 91 105 73.5 88.5 0.0% 0.3% 4.1% 0.0% 0.502 0.510
Ravenhill
RAV
 32 32 99 98 82.6 79.4 0.0% 6.8% 53.9% 0.0% 0.496 0.498
Weathertop
WT
 31 33 97 100 78.5 83.5 0.0% 1.9% 22.7% 0.0% 0.501 0.504
Dagorlad
DAG
 28 35 92 105 74.6 87.4 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 0.492 0.471
Dol Guldur
DG
 11 52 67 131 49.6 112.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 97.1% 0.501 0.511
Isengard
ISE
 34 31 100 95 83.4 78.6 0.1% 0.8% 59.6% 0.0% 0.490 0.473
Minas Morgul
MIN
 42 21 120 79 102.0 60.0 72.0% 99.2% 100.0% 0.0% 0.476 0.448

SciFi and Fantasy League Playoff Odds

Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Chiba City
CC
 26 24 79 76 63.7 62.3 0.3% 8.6% 8.6% 0.1% 0.501 0.499
Babylon Five
B5
 25 26 77 78 61.8 64.2 0.1% 4.0% 4.0% 0.6% 0.500 0.498
Serenity Valley
SV
 25 27 80 82 62.3 63.7 0.2% 5.7% 5.7% 0.5% 0.500 0.501
Gallifrey
GAL
 19 33 68 89 52.4 73.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 30.5% 0.505 0.512
Dyson
DYS
 31 20 86 70 71.6 54.4 14.2% 81.7% 81.7% 0.0% 0.496 0.489
New New York
NNY
 21 31 72 84 58.1 67.9 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 3.6% 0.499 0.510
Star Fleet Academy
SFA
 32 20 91 69 73.2 52.8 24.0% 71.8% 71.8% 0.0% 0.494 0.488
Intergalactic
INT
 21 31 70 87 55.1 70.9 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.4% 0.504 0.515
Tatooine
TAT
 31 21 83 72 69.2 56.8 5.2% 25.3% 25.3% 0.0% 0.499 0.493
WeMadeIt
WMI
 27 25 77 78 62.7 63.3 0.2% 2.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.502 0.500
Karak Kadrin
KK
 31 21 88 71 72.3 53.7 18.5% 37.4% 37.4% 0.0% 0.494 0.486
Andelain
AND
 23 29 73 82 57.9 68.1 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 4.3% 0.501 0.498
Diagon Alley
DA
 34 18 89 68 74.3 51.7 34.2% 62.2% 62.2% 0.0% 0.497 0.487
Earthsea
EAR
 23 29 75 82 58.9 67.1 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 2.8% 0.500 0.501
Forgotten Realms
FR
 27 25 81 75 66.2 59.8 1.9% 51.6% 51.6% 0.0% 0.498 0.506
Land of Oz
OZ
 18 34 65 90 51.7 74.3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 38.0% 0.505 0.519
Narnia
NAR
 29 23 81 74 65.8 60.2 1.2% 46.2% 46.2% 0.0% 0.501 0.494
Xanth
XAN
 23 29 70 84 56.9 69.1 0.0% 2.1% 2.1% 6.8% 0.504 0.509